So the consensus is
that the prognosis for recovery for Ryan Mathews is that it's going to take
longer than the four to six weeks floated yesterday after the game. That makes sense, four weeks seemed
optimistic, even six weeks seemed tight. I've had lots of friends break their
clavicle and the recovery time is longer than that. On the one hand, they've
rarely had to get surgery, they'd wear this harness that kept their shoulder
back and took it easy for a couple months. On the other hand, they weren't
going to be tackled by 300 lbs linemen when they went back to work or on their
bike or snowboard.
So I'm glad that Michael Gehlken of the San Diego
Union-Tribune cleared that up. It seemed the team was trying to soften the blow
for fans and reduce the criticism of Ryan by the lunatic fringe.
This injury will hurt the team in the predictable
manner. The offense will be less
productive, the running game will be less of a threat and the opposition will
be able to back off the line of scrimmage.
They'll be able to blanket guys like Eddie Royal and Antonio Gates who
would normally have sneaked behind the linebackers looking to stuff a run. The passing offense will be less effective
with safeties not drawn in by the threat of a Ryan Mathews run, pass rushers
will pin their ears back, and with a suspect offensive line, Philip Rivers may
rush more throws, as he did last season.
Another area this will affect is roster depth. With a workhorse running back, we could have
padded other areas of the team. Now, we
will need to carry five RB's on our roster to start the season, and that will
cost us Dante Rosario and a linebacker who could have played special teams. Let
me explain.
With Ryan in the lineup hoovering snaps, as Coach Turner was
apparently preparing his team for, we could have gotten away with three RB's
and two FB's and that would have been plenty.
Ryan Mathews gets the most work, Ronnie Brown is the trusty veteran who
spells him and brings some extra talents.
The two fullbacks are Le'Ron McClain, who can be effective carrying the
ball, especially between the tackles, and Jacob Hester, who can contribute in
specific situations. Add a third RB,
either veteran Jackie Battle who can pitch in on special teams, or youngsters
Curtis Brinkley or Michael Hayes, and we're set in the backfield, that's a full
complement. Have an emergency RB on the
practice squad, and it's a done deal.
Now if we have to carry Ryan on the roster for the first
three weeks or so, but he's not playing, we'll need more than Ronnie Brown and
just one more complementary back, we need two, possibly three more backs,
especially if one of them doesn't separate from the others in camp, A.J. and
Norv will want to hedge their bets. This
is how I suspect it will hit the tight ends and the linebackers.
I was looking forward to having four tight ends, with
Antonio Gates, Randy McMichael, Andre Rosario and Ladarius Green. The first three are veterans who can all help
Philip Rivers, with Randy McMichael being a good blocker and safety valve, and
Dante Rosario being a good receiver more in the mold of Antonio, as we saw in
the last-minute loss to Carolina two seasons ago. Ladarius Green is a project with great
upside, but who needs to get stronger and learn route discipline among other
things. It would have been easy to
activate the three vets on game days and leave Mr. Green inactive for at least
the first few games, until he improved and/or injuries struck.
Now we won't have that luxury. We'll have to make do with three TE's, and
the Chargers won't cut Ladarius Green after spending a fourth-rounder on him at
the last draft. He's got too much talent
and comes cheap on his rookie contract.
There's no way they can sneak him on the practice squad, he'll get
claimed if they try that, so Dante Rosario will probably be on the outs.
Another area of depth that might suffer would be the
linebacking corps. Guys like Andrew
Gachkar, Darryl Gamble and Bront Bird who were fighting for a spot on the
roster by playing hard on special teams and working hard to learn their
position in practice just saw their chances to make it reduced. With luck and injuries one or two of those
guys could have made it, now I have a harder time seeing that if we need to
carry five running backs. They're not
going to beat out the veterans and high-draft picks in front of them, so
they're probably now gunning for a job with another team or the practice squad.
Other areas like the offensive line and the defensive backs
aren't likely to lose pieces, they're both areas in need of help, we're not
going to compromise depth there. Same
with the D-line, we'll have six players for three positions, there's no fat to
trim.
It's a headache, a bad domino effect, but it's to be
expected, all teams have to deal with injuries.
We can't refuse to accept the situation.
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