Saturday, 28 September 2019

Pre-season Game 7: Canadiens 4, Senators 3 (OT)

We were all prepared to be gloomy and pessimistic, but an in extremis win by les Glorieux, literaguratively snatching victory from the jaws of defeat made this a happy ending to the pre-season and renders us entertained and merely fatalistic about the prognosis for our favourite team this season.  Nick Suzuki slam-dunked his inclusion on the opening night roster with a beauty effort and an unassisted overtime goal.



The Canadiens and the Sens played a chippy game, starring major intestinal pain Brady Tkachuk for one.  Now that the Leafs have dispatched Nazem Kadri, I thought the other Ontario team was just one Borowidjotectomy away from also icing a lineup constituted solely of talented players, but the second son of Keith will be another despondingating jerk on that roster, I'd forgotten.  Hopefully our couple of tough defencemen will be enough to counter them, because our only forward with size, Joel Armia, comes in Vanilla-Lite flavour only.  It was good to see Ben Chiarot take issue with Bobby Ryan's tap/slash on Carey and discuss the matter thoroughly with him.


The Canadiens aren't a finely-honed machine as of yet.  Max Domi isn't playing like the reformed ruffian and reigning #1 centre he incarnated last season, but rather like the distracted dissolute cheap-shotting despicable faux-tough guy he was in Phoenix.  Jesperi Kotkaniemi had the lowest icetime of all Canadiens forwards.  Jonathan Drouin was sequestered in the pressbox like a débutante with chicken pox.  It's doubtful this team is ready to charge out of the blocks as as we've grown accustomed to since 2013 and the Therrien administration.

Cale Fleury had another good solid outing, with 15 minutes of icetime, 3 shots on goal (and a near-miss on a goal when he rushed the net from the blue line) and 4 hits.  Marc Bergevin will probably have to tell the kid to get a place in TMR somewheres, kind of halfway, but closer to the Nouveau Forum than to Laval.

Carey Price had a doozy of a mishandle on the Sens' third goal by Filip Chlapik.  Let's hope that this is his lowlight in that department for the year.  Some fans will get on him about it, no doubt, but I grew up watching the escapades of Ken Dryden stiltwalking around his net, handling the puck with whimsical ineffectiveness that made us pine for Michel Laroque, ungrateful little shits that we were.  So I give Carey two or three mulligans a year on these, seeing as his puckhandling is usually flawless and assured and doesn't get noticed, like when a holder does his job on a placekick.

Friday, 27 September 2019

The Canadiens' lineup, as the season nears

This is the Canadiens' practice lineup, with the Ottawa Senators looming as our Saturday night opposition for the last pre-season game.

Tatar – Danault – Gallagher
Lehkonen – Domi – Suzuki
Drouin – Kotkaniemi – Weal
Byron – Thompson – Armia

Cousins – Poehling – Hudon
Mete – Weber
Chiarot – Petry
Kulak – Fleury

Reilly – Folin
Kinkaid
Lindgren

Some notes:

--I guess Carey will be ready to play the final tuneup game?  There have been mentions of a special padding inserted in his glove to protect his bruised hand.  He better be ready, or we'll need special padding in the cell we're headed for if he gets off to a poor start.

--For now, Nick Suzuki replaces the departed Andrew Shaw on right wing of the Domi line, and Lehky replaces Jonathan Drouin, who's reportedly being showcased "En Special!!!" 

--Apparently Ryan Poehling is ready to go, and if he has a good game on Saturday, does that mean both he and Nick make le Grand Club?  My wish that they get a half-season at least in the AHL is dashed on the rocks of pedestrian training camp performances by Charles Hudon, Matthew Peca, Dale Weise, ...

--I'm going to put my foot down on Cale Fleury though.  I get that Nick Suzuki and Ryan Poehling are winning their jobs fair and square, differentiated themselves from the Pecas and the Varones and the Hudons, but those young forwards will have opportunities, can be moved around the lineup.  Cale Fleury meanwhile, as a sixth defenceman, doesn't really do that much for us, provides us with another headache when Noah Juulsen is ready to return, and will mean we'll lose a Mike Reilly or Christian Folin on waivers. 

Put him down in Laval, for another season of marinating, and hoard another asset.  That's my final decision.

--Karl Alzner waived today, cross our fingers the Ducks Coyotes nab him.  A Canadiens 'analyst'-mouthpiece was holding out hope the Jets might claim Karl Alzner.  Which reminds me I haven't bought my Loterie Super-Max tickets yet this week.



(Update)

No luck with Karl, the Jets didn't bite.  Nobody bit.  He'd said before camp that if he was sent down to the AHL, he'd ask for a trade, but going unclaimed through waivers has to be an obvious demonstration of the level of demand for his services, right?  If he wants out, he can void the contract "à l'amiable", shake hands on it buddy, no hard feelings...

What other options exist?  Tell other teams we'll let him go and hold back a mill, a mill and a half, if they take on the contract?  That would be cheaper for us than buying him out next season.  As we discussed, even next season, he's not an easy buyout decision, he'd cost us approx. $4M in 2020, then three more seasons at roughly one million cap hit.

If nobody wants to take him on, even with sweeteners/retained salary, it'll be up to him to play superb defence in Laval, be the stalwart defensive veteran we were hoping for, and then have teams suffer injuries and resort to him to shore up their defence.  As a very long shot.

--The first four exhibition games portended too well for some excited fans, and now two straight losses against the partial Leafs have crashed us back to Earth. 

Any hope I had that the team would be improved and would make the playoffs was based on Jonathan Drouin having an 80-90 point season (I know, I know, more on that later...) and KK taking the next Scheifele step and bagging 50 points and playing some Top 6 centre.  And Alzner getting some Norris Trophy votes, while I'm at it.

The Canadiens are making no bones that they're holding a competition, that they'll ice the best lineup they can, regardless of waiver and contract situations.  And if they start to falter early in the season, if by January the playoffs look unlikely, Canadiens GM Marc Bergevin can start to deal away non-core assets for draft picks.

There will be hell to pay, what with The Montreal Gazette's Stu Cowan guaranteeing in print repeatedly that Marc Bergevin had/must/would/shall be fired if the Canadiens missed the playoffs three seasons in a row, which hasn't happened since the '20s, he insists, and which is a neat stat, until you realize how many teams there were then in the League and how many there are now.  TVA's Michel Bergeron would have an aneurysm nightly if that came to pass.

But I guess Geoff Molson can see through the noise.  He's often said we're on the right track, that we're building for the future.  If we miss the playoffs, we just divest in the Paul Byrons and the Brett Kulaks, add more picks to the impressive slate we have for the June 2020 draft, coincidentally held in Montréal, fold Cole Caufield and Alex Romanov into the roster, and take another run at it next season. 

The GM evidently can't abduct the Sebastian Ahos, and he can't put a gun on the temple of the Jake Gardiners and 'convince' them to come play for the Canadiens.  We need to add players through the draft, we won't get the Jacob Troubas falling in our lap, wanting to play here to further their wife's career away from the frozen North, the Steven Stamkoses re-signing long-term at a discount.

We're in a better position than the Vancouver Canucks, for one.  They're locked in, they can't pull up on this season and make another run next year, they're committed, their first-round pick belongs to Tampa this year or next, so they're not getting the benefit if they suck.  The Canadiens can evaluate as the season goes on and freely pull the chute.

--My 80-point prediction hope dream for Jonathan was hopelessly optimistic.  He's been mentioned by Elliott Friedman as being floated on the trade market, with Marc Bergevin trying to unload a winger for help elsewhere.  The troubling thing about Jonathan is that he can do it, and he showed up to camp in shape, but he's already pouting and in a rut. 

Out here in Vancouver, at least their local-born whipping-boy, Jake Virtanen, he had the decency to show up to camp fat and overweight, to provide grist for the mill.

So yeah, I thought a summer hanging out with Max Domi and working out with renewed focus might make things click for him, that he'd look around and see his former peers thriving and he'd get into gear and get in that zone.

To think of the Canadiens improving and becoming a contender, they had to take a big step forward, to add an impact player over the summer, and since we whiffed on that, I thought that organic growth might (be the only way to) solve this, and Jonathan is eminently capable of taking the season, the team in his grasp and going at a point per game pace. 

Instead, he looks like he'll sulk his way to Edmonton.  Can you imagine him trying to keep up to Connor McDavid?  He'd probably have 80 points in a down year playing with that guy.

I wonder how the Oilers will feast on waivers, they'll probably claim three or four wingers in the next few days, I would think.

Monday, 23 September 2019

Pre-season Game 5: Canadiens 0, Tier III Leafs 3

The Canadiens bored us and bored themselves to sleep with a 3-0 loss to the Tier III Leafs.

As soon as the Leafs announced this pitiful lineup, we joked that MLSE should refund the cost of the tickets for spectators at the Nouveau Forum and that the point spread should be around a touchdown.




Toronto Maple Leafs Projected Lines*


Forwards
Agostino (20) – Shore (26) – Petan (61)
Archibald (49) – Brooks (77) – Bracco (29)
Korshkov (96) – Gaudet (32) – Read (12)
Engvall (47) – Elynuik (76) – Conrad (72)
Defensemen
Gravel (25) – Schmaltz (2)
Harpur (22) – Holl (3)
Rubins (56) – Liljegren (37)
Goaltenders
Hutchinson (30)

Well, the Marlies Lite still beat our half roster full of Barbers and Belziles.  Comfortably.

After 14 fringe players were cut from camp on Sunday, La Presse ran this article saying it was time for the harder choices.

Well, on RDS the superb team of Pierre Houde and Marc Denis discussed the same concept, the same thought I'd been formulating all game long, that when no players stand out, they're making your decisions easier for you.

Charles Hudon came into camp leaner, determined to make an impression, to return to the style of play he demonstrated his first season.  Well, the puck hasn't gone in for him, he hasn't gotten the bounces, he hasn't produced, he hasn't convinced anyone.  Not that I'm looking to get rid of him exactly, he's organizational depth, but we can't carry him on the roster all year long this year like we did last year, for fear of losing him on waivers.

If anything, this early in the season with all clubs healthy and junior players still sticking with their camps, now is the time to try to sneak him through.  I really don't think he'll be claimed, and if he is, well good luck to him, but he's in his mid-twenties now, there's not a lot of upside there, a lot of unfulfilled potential.  He is what he is, a player too good for the AHL maybe, but not really cut out to play on an NHL 4th line, which is an awkward position to be in.  So let's waive him, hope he lands in Laval and can provide veteranship there.  

Same with Karl Alzner.  Let's waive him, cross our fingers that he might get claimed, which he won't.  I mean, bad teams like the Canucks, the Sabres and the Rangers are right up against the cap ceiling.  No one is going to splurge on an over-30 defensive defenceman who's overpaid for three more seasons.  So hope for the best and prepare for the worst, which means he'll be in Laval taking up a developmental spot and crowding our cap space, but there's no way he's sticking in Montréal, not with the pedestrian effort tonight.  If he'd rammed that Kalashnikov guy into the boards a couple times and slowed him down some, I might have sat up and taken notice, but he blew his chance.

Charlie Lindgren, you didn't stand on your head, you're taking the orange line to Montmorency.  Keith Kincaid is having a cakewalk in camp, he's the designated backup.  Charlie's another guy who I don't think might get claimed when put on waivers, he was probably showcased tonight in hopes they could get a low draft pick for him in a trade, and that's not going to happen.  There's a surplus of goalies out there, Charlie's no solution for nobody.

Belzile shmellzile.  None of these guys grabbed the brass ring.  With a few injuries to Mike McCarron and Ryan Poehling and Noah Juulsen, these decisions are making themselves for us, we don't have to hem and haw.  Give Joël Bouchard some bodies to work with.

EDIT: Well that didn't take long...

Sunday, 22 September 2019

Pre-Season Game 4: Canadiens 4, Senators 0

The Laval Canadiens spanked the Junior B Sénateurs de Belleville 4-0 last night.  (La Presse)

You know last year when the Canadiens traded for Jordan Weal at the deadline, there was immediate fan hype that he might be the next Dale Weise or Brett Kulak, the fringe roster player on another team that blossoms on the Canadiens, and I was thinking we should pump the brakes on this, not everyone is going to be a Paul Byron, most of the deadline deals and waiver claims are going to be of the Devante Smith-Pelly or Kerby Rychel variety, a flawed/failed prospect you obtained in exchange for your own flawed/failed prospect.

Sure, the end of the season was especially encouraging for Jordan Weal, how he might provide an option as a shifty right-shot on the powerplay and in the faceoff circle, a Bottom 6 player who can play a few shifts in the Top 6, but let's wait for a larger sample size maybe? So far in camp though, I have to admit I'm checking to see where the bandwagon is, and if one ever wanted to cartwheel his way onto it, how might one pick a route?

There have been some putrid pro-scouting decisions made in the Bergevin régime, Scrivens, Streit, Schlemko, Dwight King, etc., but lately that's turned around, and there are many more hits than there used to be.  I don't know if it's a change of personnel in those scouting roles, a different approach or plain dumb luck, but it's a refreshing change.

And this is where the Canadiens can flex their financial muscle.  The Coyotes couldn't make Jordan Weal work for them, so they flipped him and his 'onerous' $1.75M contract to the Canadiens for a Michael Chaput with a $675 000 two-way contract that they can stash in the minors for $275 000.  It was essentially picking up Joel Armia for Simon Bourque again, getting a player for a contract that was encumbering us on the 50-contract limit.  Michael Chaput has convincingly demonstrated during his time with the Canucks that he's a great AHL player.

Marc Bergevin re-signed Jordan Weal this summer to a two-year deal at $1.4M, which I thought would cost us a little bit should he be sent to Laval, but then again could/should act as waiver insurance for us, most teams would pass at picking up that contract.  Meanwhile, we numerous Canadiens fans give Geoff Molson enough money that he can reinvest it like this, we can afford him in the minors, on the bottom line.  Although now I don't think the minors will be an issue, Claude Julien professed his love for him early in camp, and right now the pre-season production and performance bear that out.